► Curso: TEORÍA DE LAS DECISIONES: Evaluación Unidad 1 【2019】

Started on Thursday, 8 October 2019 

State Finished

Completed on Thursday, 8 October 2019 

Time taken 54 mins 29 secs

Marks 10.00/10.00

Grade 50.00 out of 50.00 (100%)

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Question 1.

These questions consist of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by the word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical relationship that unites them.

Statement:

The pilot or tactical decisions, decisions are taken by middle management and try to efficiently allocate the resources available to meet the objectives set at the strategic level because these decisions may not be repetitive and the degree of repetition is insufficient to rely on precedents, as well as their consequences tend to occur in a long period of time and are usually irreversible and errors involve very strong sanctions unless they are accumulating.

Select one:

a. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the statement.

b. The statement is true, but the reason is a proposition false. The correct answer is: The statement is true, but the reason is a proposition false.

c. The affirmation and the reason and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of the statement.

d. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: The statement is true, but the reason is a proposition false.

Question 2.

This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according to the think is correct.

Statement:

A company dedicated to the manufacture of certain parts to assemble factory vehicles must decide whether a new piece in its main plant, or if on the contrary you purchase from a vendor Korean. The utilities depend on the demand for the product. The table shows the projected profits, in millionss of pesos.

Table 1. Decision process for the marketing of the product

Alternative decision

State of nature

Low

demand

Medium

demand

High

demand

Manufactured 15 40 50

Buy 25 35 40

Probability ∑= 1 0,3 0,3 0,4

At the same time, the resulting decision tree is:

According to the above information, the Expected Value Without Perfect Information (EVwithoutPI) of the problem is:

Select one:

a. 35.5 millions.

b. 35.3 millions.

c. 36.8 millions.

d. 36.5 millions. The correct answer is: 36.5 millions.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: 36.5 millions.

Question 3.

This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according to the think is correct.

Statement:

The decisions that are repetitive and routine, when you have defined a procedure or has established criteria (or rule of decision) that makes it easier to cope with, allowing the not be treated again each time you must make a decision and that it is repetitive because the problem occurs with some frequency in a way that is a common procedure to resolve this issue, are called:

Select one:

a. Non-programmed decisions of typology without methods.

b. Programmed decisions of typology by methods. The correct answer

is: Programmed decisions of typology by methods.

c. Making unscheduled typology by methods.

d. Decisions scheduled typology without methods.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: Programmed decisions of typology by methods.

Question 4.

This question consists of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by the word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical relationship that unites them.

Statement:

The risk environment is one in which the decision-maker does not know that states of nature can be presented and the likelihood to each of them. Under these conditions a decision criterion that applies is the so-called "expected monetary value criterion" because this approach consists in estimating the monetary value of each alternative decision and choose one that has a monetary value.

Select one:

a. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the statement.

b. The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of the statement.

c. The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.

d. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true. The correct answer is: The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

Question 5.

This question consists of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by the word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical relationship that unites them.

Statement:

The decision is the choice between several possible alternatives, taking into account the limitation of resources and with the aim of achieving a desired result because the term decide is how to identify and solve the problems that are presented to the entire organization.

Select one:

a. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

b. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the statement.

c. The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of the statement. The correct answer is: The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of the statement.

d. The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of the statement.

Question 6.

This question consists of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by the word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical relationship that unites them.

Statement:

When the decision-maker has some knowledge about the states of nature you can assign to the occurrence of each state some objective estimation of probability because the decision- maker can assign subjective probabilities to the occurrence of the states of nature to evaluate different alternatives before taking any decision.

Select one:

a. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the statement.

b. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true. The correct answer is: The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

c. The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of the statement.

d. The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

Question 7.

These questions consist of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by the word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical relationship that unites them.

Statement:

The deterministic models of decision, are known with certainty all the data of the reality that represent because if one or more data are referred to only in terms of probability, the model is called, probabilistic, random or stochastic.

Select one:

a. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the statement.

b. The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.

c. The affirmation and the reason and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of the statement. The correct answer is: The affirmation and the reason and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of the statement.

d. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: The affirmation and the reason and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of the statement.

Question 8.

This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according to the think is correct.

Statement:

A company dedicated to the manufacture of certain parts to assemble factory vehicles must decide whether a new piece in its main plant, or if on the contrary you purchase from a vendor Korean. The utilities depend on the demand for the product. The table shows the projected profits, in millionss of pesos.

Table 1. Decision process for the marketing of the product

Alternative decision

State of nature

Low

demand

Medium

demand

High

demand

Manufactured 15 40 50

Buy 25 35 40

Probability ∑= 1 0,3 0,3 0,4

At the same time, the resulting decision tree is:

According to the above information, the Expected Value with Perfect Information (EVwithPI) of the problem is:

Select one:

a. 39.5 millions. The correct answer is: 39.5 millions.

b. 35.3 millions.

c. 38.5 millions.

d. 36.8 millions.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: 39.5 millions.

Question 9.

This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according to the think is correct.

Statement:

The decision models can be classified according to several criteria, including: objective, subjective, analytical, simulation, static, dynamic, deterministic and probabilistic. The models that are presumed to be known with certainty all the data of the reality they represent and the models that incorporate the time as a variable or as a fundamental parameter in your order are called:

Select one:

a. Analytical models and dynamic models.

b. Stochastic and deterministic models. A

c. Deterministic models and dynamic models. The correct answer

is: Deterministic models and dynamic models.

d. Models of certainty and static models.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: Deterministic models and dynamic models.

Question 10.

This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according to the think is correct.

Statement:

Perform an analysis of the decision first must be defined:

Select one:

a. The problem and the structure of decision. The correct answer is: The

problem and the structure of decision.

b. Only the structure of decision.

c. The quantities deterministic or probabilistic.

d. The deterministic quantities only.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: The problem and the structure of decision.